TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x065f…ab50

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Space, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Space at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55.23
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.24
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$618.48
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$138.69
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$160.74
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will the Eagles beat the Rams by 7 or more points?backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Lions beat the Commanders by 9 or more points?backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.36
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$13.3
Will the Vikings beat the Rams by 3 or more points?backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+100%+$70
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$133.72
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+80.4%+$54.88
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+53.8%+$16.9
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$10.05
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$16.9
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$25.12
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Steelers vs. Eaglesbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+138.1%+$98.27
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,450.6%+$2,083.85
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$32.38
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.74
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.69
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$21.89
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.19
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+194.1%+$21.74
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+150%+$27.45
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$10.25
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$17.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$74.79
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$62
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$18.6
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+72.4%+$21.57
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+212.5%+$97.03
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+61.3%+$8.23
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.18
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.34
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.37
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$39.89
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+187.6%+$56.29
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.68
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$16.34
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$15.01
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Utahbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+113.1%+$28.28
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.93
Flames vs. Starsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$22.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.8
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+50%+$96.51
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$28.97
Ruffy vs. Llontopbacked Llontop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$10.26
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.61
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+249.6%+$125.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$145.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+291.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+291.2%+$101.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+58.7%+$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$349.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.