College Football · resolved market
Texas vs. Texas A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a124ed17ff5d91a49329f3826e497530cc5b253637fa50a049cadafbfa8ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Texas, Texas A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1130…c545backed Texas A&M | 29c | 24,193$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,998.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Texas A&M | 10c | 19,833$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Texas A&M | 37c | 14,075$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Texas | 66c | 12,000$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texas | 63c | 6,901$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.46 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Texas | 65c | 5,031$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Texas A&M | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Texas | 64c | 2,912$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Texas A&M | 32c | 2,629$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Texas | 66c | 2,250$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…64a4backed Texas A&M | 7c | 1,598$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Texas A&M | 5c | 1,532$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…3973backed Texas A&M | 45c | 1,500$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Texas A&M | 12c | 1,279$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Texas A&M | 20c | 1,140$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texas | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed Texas A&M | 33c | 599.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texas A&M | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…d9e6backed Texas A&M | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Texas A&M | 30c | 480$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…c873backed Texas A&M | 9c | 478$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texas | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Texas | 55c | 454.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texas | 64c | 450.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Texas | 74c | 420$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Texas A&M | 18c | 420$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Texas | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Texas | 66c | 318.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…cfafbacked Texas A&M | 10c | 309.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Texas A&M | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked Texas A&M | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Texas | 66c | 293.17$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…dc26backed Texas | 79c | 283.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Texas A&M | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked Texas | 66c | 250.45$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Texas | 59c | 248.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Texas A&M | 22c | 185.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas A&M | 12c | 160.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…e8a7backed Texas | 66c | 151.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Texas | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…42f8backed Texas | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Texas | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Texas A&M | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Texas A&M | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…91b5backed Texas A&M | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Texas | 67c | 109.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Texas | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Texas A&M | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…695fbacked Texas | 66c | 99.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Texas A&M | 34c | 91.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Texas | 63c | 88.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…a164backed Texas A&M | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Texas | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…4941backed Texas | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5911backed Texas | 65c | 75.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked Texas | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Texas | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…7ad0backed Texas | 66c | 62.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…3fc4backed Texas A&M | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…f4fabacked Texas | 65c | 60.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…ad34backed Texas A&M | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Texas A&M | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…5e2ebacked Texas | 65c | 53.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…a1cabacked Texas A&M | 39c | 50.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Texas | 64c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Texas | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…ab50backed Texas A&M | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Texas | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Texas | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Texas | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…ddfcbacked Texas A&M | 35c | 32.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…e34abacked Texas A&M | 35c | 31.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…34e4backed Texas | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Texas A&M | 37c | 27.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked Texas | 57c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…e89ebacked Texas | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7f…cb21backed Texas | 66c | 15.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.