TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb11…e93f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
315
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+455.6%+$82
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$146
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$158
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$44
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$188
Titans vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.9
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$142
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT4637%17 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,512.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+86.1%+$86.11
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.3
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$63.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+118.6%+$188.47
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.63
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$183
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,642Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$1,167.39
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
FA Cup: Plymouth Argyle vs. Liverpool (To Advance)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52.2
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20.5
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.52
Australian Open Men's: Luca Nardi vs Yibing Wubacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$139.99
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+105.5%+$154
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jesper de Jong vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42
China Open: Learner Tien vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
China Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$19.68
China Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 Chengdu Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.1
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 Hangzhou Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Hangzhou Open: Alexander Bublik vs Yibing Wubacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$352
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,021.98
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$103
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$57.6
Wizards vs. Timberwolvesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$199.66
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.4
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$17.5
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$115.58
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$132
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+88.8%+$94.05
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$195
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.56
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$21
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.1%+$141.72
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$272
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,167.17
TikTok sale announced before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$368
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.27
Will Trump cut NPR funding in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+163.2%+$155
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$420
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$241.6
Will Trump go on SNL before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$185.12
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$64.84
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+51.5%+$34
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$100
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Trump wins a solid blue state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will the election be called on Nov 5? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$102
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+73.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$186
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$510
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$296
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19,536.17
Will Syria hold national elections before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$605.14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+1,255.9%+$721.97
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+384.4%+$949.79
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$96
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28.82
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$53
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+153.9%+$854.09
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$62
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
Virginia vs. North Carolinabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42
Florida Gators vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$116.2
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Pittsburgh vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$154
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$69.75
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$195.57
The CFP Favorites Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$175
Texas vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$18
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+239.8%+$495.22
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$753.03
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$259
Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,574.86
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$3,165
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46.8
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+177.8%+$62.08
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$310.28
Germany confidence vote in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+67.8%+$81.33
South Korean President impeached by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$23.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+45.1%+$135.18
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$75
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.23
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$63
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.07
Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.25
Will Oscar Piastri win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$21
Will Lando Norris win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+88.7%+$47
Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+284.4%+$73.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.8
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,940.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$203.76
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$74
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it take Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+52.2%+$78.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$48.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,382
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jiankui He launch a memecoin before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$410
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Utah Utesbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$785.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$339.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$158
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.