NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7410af7816944808ebcf6a5129735d34a0d4b2d83313384b1e7f42270bec5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Magic, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 609 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Magic | 28c | 28,372$8,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,076.58 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Magic | 38c | 22,618$8,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,669.5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 20c | 19,392$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.83 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 33c | 14,025$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 23c | 13,388$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.31 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Bucks | 77c | 13,010$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Magic | 18c | 12,642$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.08 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 26c | 11,619$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.65 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks | 76c | 10,030$7,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.09 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…332cbacked Magic | 27c | 10,023$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…fc3ebacked Magic | 27c | 10,003$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…4723backed Bucks | 73c | 10,002$7,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bucks | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…b250backed Bucks | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…fbcfbacked Magic | 28c | 9,381$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Bucks | 77c | 7,889$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 29c | 7,039$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.26 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Bucks | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.98 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…15d7backed Bucks | 73c | 6,884$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 68c | 5,700$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…463bbacked Bucks | 73c | 5,474$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Bucks | 76c | 5,289$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.34 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks | 72c | 5,187$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.76 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 73c | 5,065$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.63 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Bucks | 75c | 4,853$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 29c | 4,812$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.97 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 25c | 4,719$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.46 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Magic | 18c | 4,627$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.01 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Bucks | 73c | 4,111$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.84 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed Magic | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Magic | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Magic | 25c | 3,986$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.43 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Bucks | 76c | 3,941$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.88 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 36c | 3,783$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.8 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…bdc4backed Magic | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 27c | 3,237$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.92 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Magic | 27c | 3,185$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Bucks | 74c | 3,167$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.83 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…b886backed Bucks | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…156cbacked Magic | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…b3eabacked Magic | 29c | 2,948$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…3416backed Bucks | 74c | 2,721$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…4157backed Magic | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Magic | 39c | 2,436$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.71 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 34c | 2,428$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.59 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Magic | 25c | 2,400$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.9 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 25c | 2,351$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.57 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Magic | 14c | 2,302$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 73c | 2,200$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Magic | 25c | 2,163$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.52 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 3c | 2,099$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bucks | 75c | 2,040$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.45 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Bucks | 76c | 2,032$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 27c | 1,932$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.95 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bucks | 75c | 1,856$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.3 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 28c | 1,750$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 35c | 1,696$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.83 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Bucks | 76c | 1,569$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.61 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Bucks | 78c | 1,568$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.36 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Magic | 28c | 1,564$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Magic | 10c | 1,545$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Magic | 29c | 1,500$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.3 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Bucks | 74c | 1,500$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Magic | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Magic | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Magic | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Bucks | 73c | 1,428$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.62 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Bucks | 67c | 1,411$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.35 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Magic | 30c | 1,395$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…c987backed Bucks | 73c | 1,394$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Bucks | 68c | 1,390$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Magic | 25c | 1,365$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.35 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Magic | 27c | 1,345$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bucks | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Magic | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Bucks | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Magic | 18c | 1,245$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Magic | 21c | 1,238$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Magic | 22c | 1,177$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Magic | 13c | 1,121$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…4688backed Magic | 27c | 1,119$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…2eccbacked Magic | 26c | 1,077$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Bucks | 75c | 1,073$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Bucks | 76c | 1,040$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Bucks | 68c | 1,031$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.28 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed Bucks | 75c | 1,014$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Bucks | 74c | 1,006$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Magic | 15c | 1,005$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic | 27c | 1,001$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.58 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f6…17acbacked Bucks | 76c | 1,000$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Bucks | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…88c8backed Bucks | 75c | 987.55$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a7cfbacked Magic | 24c | 948.44$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Bucks | 72c | 902.49$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…65afbacked Bucks | 73c | 898.76$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Magic | 6c | 883.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bucks | 59c | 879.99$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 68c | 825.43$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.09 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Magic | 33c | 809.33$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.