TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76c6…5a68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2024, EST2365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$190
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+203%+$223.33
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$228
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+150%+$540
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$179
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+122.2%+$648.39
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+426.3%+$673.58
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$371.2
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$258
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+138.1%+$323.74
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+38.9%+$337.94
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$272
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+75.4%+$79.21
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+150%+$193.5
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$277.6
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+37%+$385.62
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+222.6%+$690.12
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+49.3%+$410.78
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$134.15
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+96.1%+$82.2
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+51.5%+$291.45
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+44.9%+$447.39
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$269.57
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$80.76
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$66.24
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+56.3%+$519.92
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$172.4
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37%+$207.63
49ers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+38.9%+$405.19
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+67.7%+$420.44
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+177.8%+$397.74
Rams vs. Patriotsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+49.3%+$73.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.31
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$53.78
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.21
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$354.16
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$155.83
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.1
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.97
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$35.85
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.68
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$166.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Kings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$144.75
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+203%+$180.62
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)backed Hammarby Fotboll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$89.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.