TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Hornets0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Hornets2c12,599$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20211926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets0c11,999$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e03…9964backed Hornets0c11,361$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd0…f582backed Hornets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Hornets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Rockets72c9,451$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.172080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cec…a0fdbacked Hornets31c9,451$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.931369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Hornets1c5,369$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3723438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Hornets28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.995911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets29c4,922$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.4365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets4c4,750$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Hornets28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.953839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets31c3,246$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Rockets76c2,672$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.773161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets31c2,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets13c2,431$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Hornets31c2,422$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.7721649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Rockets72c2,008$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.343669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc047…889cbacked Hornets1c2,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Rockets70c1,903$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.844456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets31c1,889$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.8396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets28c1,472$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Rockets70c1,437$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.0225865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Rockets69c1,300$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.697248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Hornets31c1,296$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.882733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Rockets68c1,199$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.83284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf892…9769backed Rockets68c1,102$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Rockets72c1,055$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5812651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Hornets1c1,031$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1193036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Rockets78c1,018$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.523568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets20c1,001$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Rockets70c1,000$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6826235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Rockets69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Rockets70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Hornets32c1,000$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.48040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Rockets70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets31c1,000$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3141,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Hornets29c983.08$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…042bbacked Hornets33c978.9$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hornets31c959.5$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4429148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Hornets32c950$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Rockets69c949.28$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.284344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Hornets4c900$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3623835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets68c899.98$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed Hornets29c889.66$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Rockets72c888.89$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.895354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets71c825.8$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e8…6022backed Rockets68c786.04$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf3…ce57backed Hornets32c786.04$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.53560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+160.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Rockets72c707.11$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.996750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed Rockets71c703.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Rockets72c697.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.966347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Rockets69c695.72$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.495862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Rockets69c652.17$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.174667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Rockets72c650.03$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.015366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Hornets30c644.03$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.639646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rockets74c610$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1571,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Rockets77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13811146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Hornets28c521.47$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0115947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Hornets30c516.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15611150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets21c513.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4539843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Hornets7c500.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.127538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets70c500$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Hornets29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Rockets70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Hornets28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Hornets29c499.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed Rockets74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.971361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets29c464.96$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb02d…109dbacked Rockets70c449.85$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Hornets30c444.26$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1945251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets22c443.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.081,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Rockets69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.784456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets29c432.97$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.562,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Rockets74c403.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.333053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad4…9845backed Rockets69c390$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8117…3405backed Hornets33c381.66$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.571060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Rockets68c380.3$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.78150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x198b…3bcabacked Rockets74c356.19$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.192661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c46…3e5cbacked Rockets71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.112483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets30c350.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Rockets69c350$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4019…87b9backed Rockets70c340$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2650…ea8abacked Hornets30c338.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Rockets68c319.98$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.396752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Hornets19c313.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3317141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Hornets32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Hornets32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Hornets31c308.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7914941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed Hornets32c308.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e08…bebfbacked Hornets32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Rockets80c293.38$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.747352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Rockets70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7116440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Rockets71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.697860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Rockets72c279.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.634573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Hornets29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.