TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf259…7592

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
315
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT7538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$86.5
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.95
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+41.1%+$10.78
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+277.4%+$73.5
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+60%+$17.99
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.05
Will Alexandre Sarr win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$4.48
Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+202.8%+$64.26
Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.08
Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+1,759%+$311.98
Will Jimmy Butler get traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.27
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.75
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25.18
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT4226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kirk Cousins get cut/traded by the Falcons?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.71
Will 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.98
Will the Titans make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will the Browns make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.44
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Cam Ward?backed Sanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.65
Will Kevin O'Connell win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+235.7%+$25.58
Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.13
Will TJ Watt win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Will Bo Nix win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+63.3%+$18.27
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+85.1%+$21.78
Will the Patriots hire Mike Vrabel as their next head coach?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.14
Will Mike Vrabel be the head coach of the Patriots in the 2025-26 NFL season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.06
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26.16
Will the LA Rams game get moved to Phoenix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+398.8%+$108.64
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+218.4%+$38.85
Will another player be the top Fantasy Tight End?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.08
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+180.1%+$19.03
Will the Vikings win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.03
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.58
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$36.99
Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.7
Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$46.37
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+181.7%+$37.63
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$12.77
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.73
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will Dominic LeBlanc be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.35
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.48
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+25%+$5.4
Trudeau out before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39.25
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.06
Trudeau resigns before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33.09
Trudeau out in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+66.4%+$17.11
Trudeau resigns by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$39.85
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$42.97
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next French Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+28.2%+$3.67
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$38.23
180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$16.32
South Korean President impeached by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$17.87
All 23 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST2313%3 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-74.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.81
Will 'Nosferatu' gross over $30m on 5-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10.52
Will 'Nosferatu' gross between $25-30m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10.51
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$11.43
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$10.62
Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$15.15
Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be below 60?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$72.97
Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$17.47
Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$24.9
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $16-19m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$50.44
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross less than $16m on 3-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$33.31
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+38.9%+$6.69
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+192.3%+$27.02
Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 75-79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$13.59
Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 80-84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$12.9
Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 70-74?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.18
Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 90 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$11.73
Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 85-89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$12.2
Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$15.31
Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$41.41
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$23.99
'Wicked' grosses 2x more than 'Gladiator 2' on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$11.46
Will 'Red One' gross more than $27m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$13
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+159.3%+$145.63
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.61
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+155.1%+$30.28
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+170.3%+$17.65
Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$43.7
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.57
Assad public appearance before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+43.7%+$18.8
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+122.4%+$14.33
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.55
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$41.24
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$16.45
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$19.26
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$14.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
2025 January hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+170.3%+$17.65
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.32
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+65.4%+$13.41
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26.49
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$13.28
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$17.65
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.01
70°F in NYC in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.13
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+173.9%+$30.74
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.14
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Berachain airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+41.2%+$11.57
Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+167.1%+$28.94
Will $cult launch in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$41.63
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+156.8%+$25.08
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+328.8%+$39.04
Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.49
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+426.3%+$43.44
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$10.75
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$11.13
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$47.29
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+212.5%+$46.33
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$13.56
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$18.65
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+376.2%+$68.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+76.2%+$10.67
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.42
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62.23
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+296.8%+$41.55
Will between 200 and 211 Democratic congressmen vote for funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$10.51
Will AOC lead House oversight committee? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$25.65
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$11.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.62
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.22
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$18.41
Suchir Balaji foul play determined before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+31%+$6.43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.39
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+54.8%+$6
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+48.6%+$12.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will GamerLegion win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2024, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$13.31
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+56.3%+$9.3
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Nov 22-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+66.4%+$14.34
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Nov 22-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+50.6%+$5.59
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 22-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$32.41
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$15.43
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$19.33
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+232.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-75.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA Galaxy win the MLS Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$24.45
Will Los Angeles FC win the MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$15.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+379.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+379.2%+$90.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juan Soto sign with the New York Mets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$21.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.