Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe27badc50c0237913a349c0325c5a6d7dbfaaea17fa7c1c00113ed9de2ac17e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 50c | 40,664$20,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,442 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 50c | 16,341$8,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,180.87 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 50c | 14,893$7,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,446.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed No | 21c | 10,626$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,374.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 29c | 6,545$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.68 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 9c | 4,325$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +904%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 68c | 3,942$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.38 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 31c | 3,750$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.22 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 34c | 3,610$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.08 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 50c | 2,954$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 32c | 2,873$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.87 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 80c | 2,514$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 47c | 1,223$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.57 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 26c | 1,216$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked No | 12c | 1,200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed No | 40c | 1,195$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 69c | 1,193$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…e767backed No | 17c | 1,180$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 59c | 1,164$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 38c | 1,080$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.28 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…fe7dbacked No | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 62c | 992.38$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.45 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e9…7d7cbacked No | 16c | 991.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 61c | 972$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1354backed Yes | 80c | 941.39$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…5efdbacked No | 44c | 890.95$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 28c | 846.36$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…fef0backed No | 32c | 791.71$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…b297backed No | 64c | 785.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…e931backed Yes | 35c | 761.43$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…f5c0backed Yes | 42c | 689.64$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…2f33backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…39b9backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 20c | 490.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed No | 59c | 484.59$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…bc47backed No | 22c | 455.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +357.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Yes | 32c | 430$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…70c4backed No | 66c | 392.51$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…bbe5backed No | 61c | 383.66$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 52c | 310.25$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 68c | 300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…5d4bbacked No | 66c | 299.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…6cc3backed No | 49c | 290.49$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 44c | 288.44$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 256.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…fff3backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7f9bbacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 32c | 235.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 33c | 225.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…3b22backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 78c | 198.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…ad95backed No | 34c | 192.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…f6c4backed Yes | 79c | 190.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe26…5c6bbacked No | 73c | 176.63$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed No | 46c | 171.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…5a29backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…1624backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…07ddbacked Yes | 65c | 151.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…fca2backed Yes | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 40c | 119.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…a447backed Yes | 40c | 114.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed No | 67c | 103.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…27d3backed No | 75c | 93.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…113ebacked Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb27…4d56backed No | 54c | 84.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…5c34backed Yes | 32c | 79.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…bdcbbacked No | 39c | 77.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…cf95backed No | 67c | 77.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…7891backed No | 61c | 75.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…9695backed No | 35c | 71.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…da62backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 15c | 69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 60c | 60.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…945cbacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 39c | 51.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…4351backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ee…fbe9backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 61c | 43.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…769ebacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…a2dfbacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…93fbbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ec60backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 61c | 29.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…9b4fbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…fa0dbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb336…4e71backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.