TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2c1…56f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
538
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT6735.8%24 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.44
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+41%+$72.62
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.33
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$15.5
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.77
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.66
Will MAS-IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+143.3%+$145.79
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.86
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.5
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.72
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.47
Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.57
Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.65
Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.77
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,104.06
Will Ronnie Brunswijk be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$767.22
Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.67
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+162.5%+$88.06
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 30% and 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.34
Will Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.97
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5922%13 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-41.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.61
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.98
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+109.9%+$126.62
Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.54
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.81
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.14
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.32
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.6
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.61
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.21
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.93
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+201.6%+$513.38
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$63.16
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 217–218 votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$19.84
Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.5–45.9% on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.3
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT5527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.41
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$67.85
Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will Elon tweet 420–449 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.41
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+130.4%+$91.76
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.32
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+222.9%+$53.16
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.04
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.41
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.01
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+326.2%+$441.18
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.27
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.46
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+296.2%+$47.1
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.55
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+211.1%+$38.64
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+130.1%+$47.05
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT4337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+42.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.16
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+81.6%+$52.8
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+1,940.4%+$273.89
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20-23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$12.9
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $85m and $92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$25.55
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be 95 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.53
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.63
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+917.1%+$269.82
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 75?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.47
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.18
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $20m or more but less than $23m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+73.7%+$59.71
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.12
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross more than $75m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $65-70m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.62
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$60.8
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Will "The Brutalist" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+41.8%+$20.25
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $7m and $10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross less than $16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+50.3%+$157.55
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $16-19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$113.08
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $19-22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.38
Will 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+111.9%+$39.17
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 4 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.41
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 5 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.08
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 7 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.85
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 6 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.96
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 8 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.85
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 9 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.96
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75.16
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.7
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+247%+$65.55
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 0 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.93
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.68
Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.52
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+67.1%+$29.31
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$95.97
Will George Kittle be the top Fantasy Tight End?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.08
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$120.03
Will Travis Kelce be the top Fantasy Tight End?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Will Trey McBride be the top Fantasy Tight End?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.32
Will another player be the top Fantasy Tight End?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+276.2%+$62.02
Will Drake London be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Wide Reciever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.32
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+96.5%+$115.4
Will Justin Jefferson be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.84
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on August 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in London be 75°F or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.11
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+2,427.7%+$512.04
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+206.1%+$66.66
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.01
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.79
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.39ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+182.3%+$153.38
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.13
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$12.61
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$23.52
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.59
Will the highest temperature in London between 45-46°F on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.86
Will the highest temperature in London between 43-44°F on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+176.2%+$31.9
Will LA wildfires burn 50-60k acres by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.33
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$175.94
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$57.82
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+122.5%+$340.78
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10.56
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$18.21
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.74
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+485.6%+$157.88
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.83
Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.81
Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$57.89
Will Newcastle vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+35.1%+$4.56
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Everton win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Will Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+400%+$43.88
Will Manchester City beat Brentford?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Will Vinicius Junior join a Saudi club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Will Manchester United beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Will Manchester United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Will Crystal Palace beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+354.4%+$70.89
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Finalbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
Will Bayer Leverkusen go undefeated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Will Man City win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will PSG win the 2023-24 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2024, EDT+48.1%+$20.98
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+313.2%+$35.13
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.22
Will the Cavaliers beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.76
NBA Playoffs 1st Round: Less than 3 upsets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+60.5%+$13.09
Will Jaylen Wells win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.68
Will Zaccharie Risacher win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.27
Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+136.6%+$127.03
Will Alexandre Sarr win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$35.44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$37.31
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+597.5%+$153.01
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20.7
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20.37
Will the New York Knicks win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$32.45
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$19.65
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$13.58
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Western Conference Finals: Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Knicks vs. Pacers Series Winnerbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.82
Thunder vs. Mavericks Series Winnerbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-65.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$32.57
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.68
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+115.8%+$106.24
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.96
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.62
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.66
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $320b and $330b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$120.19
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.03
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $300b and $310b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.67
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $290b and $300b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $320b and $330b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+116.2%+$150.31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$137.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.8
Will 12-15 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+376.2%+$181.7
Will 8-11 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.12
Will 24 or more Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$96.9
Will 16-19 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$29.8
Will 20-23 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$12.34
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$38.54
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+44.9%+$5.39
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+72.4%+$15.21
Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$17
Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$21.77
Will George Latimer win the NY-16 Democratic House Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$13.05
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Opensea token launch by July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+449.1%+$323.51
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.73
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $15b or more one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.49
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.77
OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.14
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.79
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.59
Will Berachain launch a token in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$46.39
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$12.68
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$73.34
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+185%+$97.47
Berachain airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Scroll airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Rainbow airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.98
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$165.63
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34.03
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+33.9%+$45.66
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$139.64
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$1,035.07
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+68.4%+$710.67
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+44.5%+$157.28
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$11.92
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$30.99
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$53.13
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
US inflation >0.3% from March to April 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
All 15 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will Rory McIlroy be the first round leader at the 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Scottie Scheffler be the first round leader at the 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Jon Rahm be the first round leader at the 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Bryson DeChambeau be the first round leader at the 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.15
Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.11
Will Tom Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+368.5%+$220.57
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.13
Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.92
Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.62
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+195%+$43.63
Will a club from Spain win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will a club from Germany win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will River Plate win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.46
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$46.4
Will Monaco beat Dinamo Zagreb?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.92
Will Liverpool beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Benfica beat Red Star Belgrade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Will Sparta Praha beat RB Salzburg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bologna beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Lexus Eastbourne Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$17.07
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.24
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.88
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.95
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$216.23
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+182.6%+$296.11
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.81
Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.3
Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+222.1%+$381.11
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.54
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.84
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.66
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.91
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$104.34
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.16
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+334.4%+$93.55
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.43
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45.67
Will India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+235.4%+$24.72
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Audra McDonald win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.53
Will Jasmine Amy Rogers win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Nicole Scherzinger win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+93%+$49.63
Will Jamal Roberts win American Idol season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.76
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$139.08
Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+1,261.4%+$237.65
Will '360' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$51.95
Drake drops new track by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.3
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$61.25
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.78
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+536.6%+$104.25
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$32.18
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.03
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+87.4%+$360.71
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+153.9%+$289.46
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.03
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+37%+$7.39
$GME halted on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT+37%+$18.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NaVi win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.