Movies · resolved market
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ded3c88780fcd2b39f5714f7628d009a8886adf830c178398daa903ee7909c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b78…683bbacked No | 55c | 96,000$52,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2632backed Yes | 45c | 96,000$43,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 58c | 3,648$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 38c | 3,072$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 51c | 2,606$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.19 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed No | 48c | 2,231$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,746$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 50c | 1,687$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.09 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…3ff7backed Yes | 57c | 1,630$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 33c | 1,551$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.67 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 53c | 1,525$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.02 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 59c | 1,280$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.36 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 51c | 1,138$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.64 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 56c | 1,124$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.82 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 52c | 1,077$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.1 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 51c | 1,066$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.89 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 48c | 1,061$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.4 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa9…aab1backed Yes | 50c | 992.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 74c | 898.44$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 30c | 789.48$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…73d8backed Yes | 59c | 734$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes | 55c | 676.83$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 56c | 550$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 58c | 521.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 59c | 512.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f9…a1debacked No | 41c | 490$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e6…7f09backed No | 41c | 477$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 53c | 474.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 65c | 465.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…9404backed Yes | 66c | 457.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 42c | 456.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 41c | 423.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed Yes | 60c | 416.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 51c | 405.79$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…f99ebacked No | 46c | 389.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…9cddbacked No | 16c | 377.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…0e81backed No | 51c | 340$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…9e7ebacked Yes | 49c | 340$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 48c | 334$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 55c | 329.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 45c | 327$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…40d8backed No | 41c | 313$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…37d2backed Yes | 59c | 308.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…94bcbacked No | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb51…3ed9backed Yes | 59c | 286$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 68c | 265.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 51c | 262.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…7256backed Yes | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…0eccbacked Yes | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…1a83backed No | 51c | 260$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 7c | 255.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc86…3993backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9664…bc63backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 12c | 245.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 55c | 235.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 229.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…d026backed No | 42c | 217$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 74c | 216.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed Yes | 52c | 214.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…5d26backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…5adebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 72c | 195.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…99a4backed Yes | 62c | 173.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 33c | 170.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 48c | 165.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…ecfbbacked No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…6b6bbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…7c7abacked No | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…e6e6backed Yes | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…6134backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c277backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…7708backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f4f5backed No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…2a02backed No | 43c | 145.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…83bbbacked No | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 62c | 139.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 38cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…6d29backed No | 55c | 131$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 60c | 127.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…660ebacked Yes | 48c | 124.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 55c | 124.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 55c | 120.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2378…35a4backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…521cbacked No | 48c | 116.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 55c | 114.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…09b0backed Yes | 52c | 106.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…99cebacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…c26abacked Yes | 80c | 100.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…84b1backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…f240backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…aab4backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…9486backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?this page
- Will "A Complete Unknown" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?No won
- Will "Conclave" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?No won
- Will "Emilia Pérez" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?No won
- Will "The Brutalist" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?No won
- Will "Wicked" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?No won
- Will another movie win the most Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.