TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x713f…22cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Brasilia: Gustavo Heide vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Chile Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Emilio Navabacked Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+123.1%+$33.66
Set Handicap: Vacherot (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)backed Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+103.2%+$26.07
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15
Chile Open: Francesco Passaro vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.85
Rio Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$20.68
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+60.6%+$24.25
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+63.6%+$22.15
Rio Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Miguel (+1.5)backed Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navonebacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Barrios (+1.5)backed Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.55
Set Handicap: Carabelli (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)backed Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Rio Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22
ATP Washington D.C: Marozsan vs. Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.04
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffsbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.49
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$170.25
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.37
LoL: Galions vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.96
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$39.1
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+153.6%+$227.14
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+329.9%+$211.92
"The Fantastic Four: First Steps" Rotten Tomatoes score 90+%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.47
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$41.21
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$74.82
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+66%+$158.21
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will "I Am Ready, Warden" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.02
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 0 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+270.4%+$229.81
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$42.15
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$124.44
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$247.12
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$105.85
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$65.1
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$33.85
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$238.3
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$71.42
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$121.21
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$53.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.17
Will Jalen Brunson score 30+ points against the Celtics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.5
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$222.22
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.83
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+127.1%+$162.3
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.12
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$89.6
Will Furia win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+127.3%+$30.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+159.3%+$62.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.65
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.86
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.81
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.87
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.14
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+121.4%+$132.99
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$81.21
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+110.5%+$213.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.2
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+223.3%+$558.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+233.7%+$290.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+26.1%+$15.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.