TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIA

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94a1…ec2fbacked FURIA29c16,662$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,837.9216357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed FURIA58c15,255$8,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,917.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-67.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked MOUZ71c13,144$9,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.26875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed MOUZ69c12,983$8,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.364360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed MOUZ71c12,287$8,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.5916349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed FURIA31c12,231$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.613467.6%23 W · 11 L+6.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x07d1…cc19backed MOUZ71c11,930$8,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460.12580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed FURIA29c9,999$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.728248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked MOUZ71c8,222$5,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.334346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed FURIA32c7,675$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.484257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed MOUZ58c6,450$3,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.35149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked FURIA30c4,214$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.118237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92f…8169backed FURIA31c4,193$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.873036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ64c4,026$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.0219155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed FURIA31c3,532$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.012138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked FURIA30c3,300$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.993336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ70c3,159$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.6785446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked MOUZ70c2,772$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.891650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed FURIA29c2,693$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed FURIA30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed FURIA29c2,154$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.2156738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked FURIA23c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47014239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ70c1,639$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.641,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked FURIA21c1,633$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.193215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ70c1,571$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.649552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed FURIA30c1,568$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4613223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed FURIA31c1,563$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47720150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed FURIA12c1,553$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5210933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ75c1,514$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5773658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed FURIA31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4653743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f78…68a4backed FURIA14c1,350$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5854.7%4 W · 81 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-84.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d46…93acbacked MOUZ70c1,210$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.043542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed MOUZ71c1,206$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6452456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed FURIA4c1,120$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.28330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…50e2backed FURIA32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked FURIA37c903.13$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7331758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed MOUZ69c885.96$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked MOUZ71c872.54$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.35461.1%33 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087b…0de7backed MOUZ64c815.81$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.552343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked FURIA37c802.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df3…f15abacked MOUZ80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed MOUZ55c730.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3236751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA30c719.97$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked MOUZ70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.296744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ71c705.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6313043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed MOUZ71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e80…4dddbacked FURIA21c703.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed MOUZ66c697$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.559542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed FURIA30c650.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed MOUZ70c620$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70e…7cd6backed FURIA39c600$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.54242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed MOUZ25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed MOUZ69c599.98$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9911654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed MOUZ67c594.19$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.086643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ68c569.44$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.971,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed FURIA26c555.94$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7514846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed MOUZ70c518.57$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5744648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed MOUZ70c501.86$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.564348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked MOUZ70c494.29$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2916649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a9a…8022backed FURIA31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed MOUZ8c475.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.8113532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed FURIA30c452.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.982544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ47c449.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6426351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91e…7246backed MOUZ70c427.21$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.161060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed MOUZ74c408.86$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.243253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed FURIA27c364.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed MOUZ71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1116050%80 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ71c345$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.213235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ70c342.86$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8613146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed FURIA30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9965…80e3backed FURIA30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked FURIA30c328.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5416033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb868…a94ebacked FURIA34c327.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.433633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked MOUZ69c304.9$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.528944.9%40 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9058961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed FURIA32c295.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9523454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7133456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7121251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf1…f522backed MOUZ64c281.02$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.02540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ70c280.61$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1826563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked MOUZ71c280.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.567659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked MOUZ57c279.73$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.03714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-75.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed MOUZ72c277.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.411269.6%78 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked FURIA33c272.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4535341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed MOUZ72c267.49$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked FURIA39c254.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.364949%24 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf0…562abacked FURIA33c248.73$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked MOUZ71c240.01$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.68956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed MOUZ69c229.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.46253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed MOUZ63c221.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.649860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed MOUZ70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.296248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6e…9191backed FURIA71c211.46$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.471560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked MOUZ34c208.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked MOUZ70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6042149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed FURIA30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed MOUZ66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.712843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked MOUZ30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed MOUZ68c182.72$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.