TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc70e…7cd6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST4242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$558
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+65.7%+$226.92
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Legacy (BO5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$169.03
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$189
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.96
Will G2 win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+144%+$287.9
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.18
EWC Cs2: G2 vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$31.05
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. MOUZbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.5
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus Vincerebacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$513
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. FURIAbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.6
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+83.1%+$8.79
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Vitalitybacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Natus Vincerebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.89
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+900%+$720
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. G2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$139.09
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$85.25
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. Vitalitybacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. 3DMAXbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+161.3%+$166.12
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$102.96
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$206.58
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$205
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.4
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$104
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+90.4%+$159.14
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$96
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$49.5
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Trump approval >45% on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Trump" 3+ times during the press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "IQ" during the press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$14.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+179.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+300%+$112.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+185.9%+$148.71
Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$59.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+54%+$134.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+159.5%+$307.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marlinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$140.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Iran on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$67.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.