CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Natus Vincere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7111f9ead6f5f94a38764d6e08c84be37f9e8189f058d1478c4d53317cc70ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof NIP, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked NIP | 38c | 23,178$8,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,757.97 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked NIP | 13c | 13,946$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked NIP | 39c | 12,313$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.06 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 10,859$6,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.95 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 42c | 7,997$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.68 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 6,217$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.15 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed NIP | 38c | 5,468$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,965$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.92 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,938$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.66 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,831$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.15 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed NIP | 60c | 2,559$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.16 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,640$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.67 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,631$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed NIP | 40c | 1,455$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.59 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,430$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.04 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed NIP | 17c | 1,179$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,127$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.43 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed NIP | 37c | 1,119$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,056$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,050$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed NIP | 38c | 1,002$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.89 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.45 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NIP | 5c | 969.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 924.69$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked NIP | 61c | 906.69$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.82 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 890.73$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed NIP | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 799.44$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.44 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked NIP | 37c | 773.46$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 759$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 670.42$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed NIP | 41c | 657.02$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 608.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…ac37backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 592.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 584.75$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 556.06$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked NIP | 14c | 500.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed NIP | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 490$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed NIP | 12c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…8022backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 391.88$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 387.26$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 368.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NIP | 40c | 365.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed NIP | 56c | 324.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…eadebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…21bfbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 308.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed NIP | 32c | 307.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 253.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 233.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…cc19backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 230.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 220$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked NIP | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed NIP | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 182.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed NIP | 57c | 173.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 173.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 170.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 157.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…5c27backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…b7aebacked NIP | 16c | 136.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 136$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…b785backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 130.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 123.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…8843backed NIP | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed NIP | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked NIP | 47c | 106.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…c56ebacked NIP | 29c | 102.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…9769backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked NIP | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…4578backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…1162backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 79.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed NIP | 39c | 71.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 65.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed NIP | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…545cbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 50.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.