TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9273…fcf8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$190.65
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.4
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$186.51
Pacers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.39
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$3,121.35
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$527.81
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$67.7
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$133.18
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$182.29
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+300%+$59.88
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$256.95
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$67.69
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51.47
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$231.25
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$58.38
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.03
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$189.16
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$38
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+156.4%+$328.31
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$505.03
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,101.19
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+132.4%+$988.81
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$75.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,006.1
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$346.34
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$230.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,196.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,397.9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$699.65
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$131.11
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.75
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs B8 (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$416.74
Counter-Strike: SAW vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.92
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+99.1%+$74.24
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$211.3
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.74
Will Team Spirit win the ESL Katowice Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+163.2%+$76.68
Will Falcons win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will Team Vitality win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.77
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,842Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$3,136.44
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$121.02
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,936Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,237.9
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.46
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$229.49
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$163.02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$705.89
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$208.59
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$164.17
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$624.38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$770.58
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,224.63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$404.17
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.91
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$275.04
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$243.87
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$149.92
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.9
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,951Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,091.61
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,794.04
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,085.91
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,663.68
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,826Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,023.32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,524.41
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,938.04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$1,262.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,998.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.88
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$138.05
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.2
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$137.5
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.29
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.05
Giants vs. Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$51
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.02
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+78.7%+$423.6
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.33
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Reds vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$287.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio beat Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+143.9%+$720.16
Will Braga beat IF Elfsborg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$199.09
Will Manchester United beat Fenerbahce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,354.7
Will Ukraine beat Czech Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.01
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$115
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$293.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$633.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,454.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.