MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da79b9471d3e3545ff707a5208b5a61b25305968fa219ccd96d9a9cca2c484e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $388,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 27,360$20,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,132.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 25,148$12,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,284.53 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 24,523$12,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,016.07 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 24,265$12,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,889.85 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 19,412$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,511.88 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 18,386$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,997.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 17,192$8,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,584.13 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 12,519$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.21 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 11,039$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.25 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 10,447$7,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,714.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 10,240$5,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.37 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 7,475$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.69 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 6,435$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 6,300$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed San Francisco Giants | 68c | 4,824$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.44 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 3,896$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.38 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 3,816$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.32 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 3,715$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.88 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,598$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.85 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 2,977$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.38 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 2,882$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.57 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,693$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.48 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 2,359$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.3 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 2,346$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.51 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,118$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.26 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,822$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.46 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,816$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.73 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,775$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.05 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,752$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.38 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,719$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 1,679$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,662$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,658$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,639$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.27 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,511$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.57 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…c199backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed San Francisco Giants | 71c | 1,379$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.18 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,350$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad8…ed62backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,343$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…4e82backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,335$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…abfbbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,260$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c83fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,239$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,219$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.3 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 1,167$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.74 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,144$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.03 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,074$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,036$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.6 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,035$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.43 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,022$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.28 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 1,001$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…e522backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 960.47$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.59 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 940.24$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 901.35$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.99 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 854.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.06 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 844.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 771.15$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.66 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 753.08$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.34 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 742.65$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.35 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 698.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.88 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 692.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 655.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 612.73$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.45 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 609.28$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…4c38backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 608.4$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 600.46$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…d5f0backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 592.28$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 586.64$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.32 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 577.26$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…38a8backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 553.97$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0dbabacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 537.62$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707d…e3c9backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 533.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 531.92$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.09 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…03ffbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 522$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 492.4$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 490.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 486.27$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 485.21$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.61 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 465.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.23 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 461.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.91 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 457.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.58 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…cfa7backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 455.77$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f5…ab8cbacked San Francisco Giants | 22c | 438.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 426.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Washington Nationals | 13c | 416.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 415.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 407.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 403$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 397.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 14.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 15.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.