TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa697…ab23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$191.57
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.15
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.08
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.46
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$185.85
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.77
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$77.56
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$26.76
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.22
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45.44
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$87.11
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,811.84
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+177.4%+$1,000.57
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.26
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$242.05
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.47
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$172.84
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$76.81
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$66.62
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+91%+$70.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.99
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.47
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$87.43
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$85.03
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.73
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.27
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$51.77
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.02
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.41
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$201.4
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.3
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.92
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.69
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$45.94
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$89.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.