Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9dbbdd73cef3e1eceabba456af01646389d434ef58f50ce2525c509bdb92e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 2,042$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.58 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 52c | 1,498$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.25 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 56c | 638.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.21 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 599.61$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 61c | 485.6$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 418.16$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 53c | 246.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 61c | 227.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 52c | 204.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over | 57c | 200.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 57c | 130.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 52c | 110.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 39c | 98.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 27c | 89.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 62c | 64.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 52c | 41.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 37c | 39.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 58c | 37.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 69c | 32.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 40c | 26.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Over | 51c | 25.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 55c | 24.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 62c | 23.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 71c | 15.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.