TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c8,587$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.912,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over33c7,249$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.281872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over66c2,273$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…121abacked Under79c2,166$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.51366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over49c2,037$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over33c1,969$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.742821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over70c1,783$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9922373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c1,276$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under58c1,226$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c1,194$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.511,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Over49c1,150$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c1,137$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.2941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under12c1,032$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.262642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Under21c955.46$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.963638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c740.8$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Over44c677.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Under33c602.23$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.734463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under34c596.73$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Under34c587.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.573141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over30c542.31$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.865076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked Over71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under34c495.77$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0921548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under66c455.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c399.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Under35c388.34$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.483243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over46c381.17$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under33c361.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.665935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over33c350$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.55219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed Under10c338.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under34c330.84$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over25c311.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.662548%12 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8720…ea73backed Over64c299.98$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over66c277.2$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.957051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under73c277$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.789045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over38c248.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5539740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under35c238.7$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1636456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over45c238$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb70…f009backed Over50c221.92$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Under50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under36c202.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3919042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+237.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Over33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under34c198.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1132854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Under35c185.71$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.716262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c161.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8815354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c155.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.459561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over64c152.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.939056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…ab23backed Under26c152.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under69c151.84$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.262556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under78c149.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.836950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over55c144.72$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.454535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c126.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x474e…b0fdbacked Over39c126.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over65c126.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under10c125.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.42711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under15c122.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.553030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over59c119.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.796552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over67c111.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.863357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over39c111.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d1…98c1backed Under49c101.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.134860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f5e…75a4backed Under50c99.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+221.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under56c98.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.881650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under36c97.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over53c94.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73e2…264cbacked Over51c86.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over65c81.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under30c80.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.414148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Under35c78.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.871050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under35c77.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Over76c74.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.662060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8013…ca53backed Under40c73.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over44c73.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.864158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under57c71.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7814442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over66c62.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under50c59.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under23c56.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0910451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over60c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x73c8…dec4backed Over32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under52c52.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3814159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Under60c51.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d1…0501backed Over47c51.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c48.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under60c48.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.333831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under67c47.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6611260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under66c46.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9511360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.