Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd01cddf9eaee9c10bd7be11bc9b4b84a7388ea0951c4dd2a26d5bdb0f4a8b4a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Under | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 655.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 24c | 408.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 25c | 162.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 76c | 103.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 78c | 57.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 75c | 53.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.