Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa643d30692658c0924d3c3cfd5e7ec0110c213a05356916984c63f4ba6da299e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 8,240$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 42c | 4,771$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.74 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 44c | 3,438$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 1,619$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.58 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,124$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.71 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Under | 78c | 810$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 10c | 539.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 533.95$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 6c | 510$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 77c | 389.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 27c | 299.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 279.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 57c | 268$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 58c | 260.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Under | 59c | 254.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 249.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 228.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 57c | 214.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 183.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 167.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 163.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Under | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 28c | 143.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…b0fdbacked Over | 43c | 134.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 56c | 122.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Over | 23c | 108.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 58c | 103.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 59c | 84.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 60c | 83.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 60c | 83.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 81.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 57c | 80.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over | 34c | 79.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 26c | 65.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Over | 42c | 46.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 41c | 37.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 58c | 34.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 68c | 30.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 69c | 29.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 58c | 27.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 57c | 22.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 78c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Under | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…f75abacked Under | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 72c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.