Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b7d71e33f929887cee07fb73e69f42d5f9876781084dfb6abe184c44e4af5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 5,336$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 25c | 2,367$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.72 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Under | 43c | 1,538$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,197$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 43c | 1,065$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 17c | 736.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 638.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 66c | 501.19$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Under | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 438.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.45 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 60c | 388$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 15c | 352.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 35c | 349.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 227$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 7c | 215.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Over | 73c | 201.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 76c | 195$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 54c | 183.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 27c | 180.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Over | 65c | 179.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Under | 19c | 158.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Under | 33c | 127.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 23c | 126.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 57c | 96.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 15c | 91.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 17c | 89.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 69c | 86.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 59c | 67.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…33f4backed Over | 59c | 66.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 25c | 66.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 76c | 65.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 33c | 58.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 25c | 53.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 61c | 36.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 77c | 33.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 59c | 30.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 47c | 28.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 70c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 68c | 22.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 59c | 22.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Over | 59c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 67c | 16.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.