TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4760…33f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$266.69
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Kylian Mbappe score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$27.18
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$6.92
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$10.45
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$102.13
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+178.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.38
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+34.9%+$15.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.