Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a1553bfe27a75a5f671e5f35403b70d788410d537cde08e7afb54739b48d8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 18,530$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,409.67 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 51c | 2,502$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.57 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 77c | 1,988$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.76 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 79c | 1,850$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 56c | 1,782$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.41 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 859.05$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.74 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 46c | 745.38$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.83 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…40b4backed Over | 35c | 599.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 573.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.21 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 73c | 525$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 47 | 85.1%40 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 450.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 383$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 55c | 374.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…8d6dbacked Under | 26c | 327.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +174.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 57c | 317.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 206.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 57c | 198.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 24c | 182.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…43d0backed Over | 74c | 167.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 167.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…41f9backed Over | 74c | 159.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 144.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 76c | 131.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 76c | 131.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…2371backed Over | 76c | 119.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 116.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 32c | 101.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 59c | 99.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 68c | 94.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 36c | 85.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Over | 55c | 72.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 54c | 71.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 59.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 72c | 57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 56c | 54.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 54.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…f9e8backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 53.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 72c | 52.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 51.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…33f4backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Over | 74c | 39.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 39c | 38.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 48c | 37.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 76c | 31.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ec…86fbbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 73c | 26.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 57c | 24.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 74c | 23.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Over | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 74c | 20.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 74c | 15.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5this page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.