Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed4fb893c1737cb0367882399f6fce5d77a9e7319f706796ed8f32a788c8424

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Under	54c	10,998$5,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,038.98	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over	47c	10,638$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	53c	9,250$4,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,312.8	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under	50c	8,998$4,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,499.24	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Over	51c	5,418$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.98	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	50c	2,763$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,376.81	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	46c	2,220$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.13	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	43c	2,005$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.28	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a73…1660backed Under	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.85	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	50c	1,600$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	65c	1,434$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.27	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	1,390$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.7	358	56.4%202 W · 156 L	+19.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	50c	1,266$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.58	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over	22c	1,099$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.85	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over	52c	958$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.16	128	61.7%79 W · 49 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over	39c	881.68$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.47	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under	53c	823.48$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.03	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over	38c	794.37$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	36c	700.72$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over	52c	670.58$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.7	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over	33c	645.24$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.93	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	51c	600$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	227	47.1%107 W · 120 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.32per pick	45cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	49c	460$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.6	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	78c	441.52$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.13	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	436.6$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.69	341	44.6%152 W · 189 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over	51c	388.75$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over	51c	337.24$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.99	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	47c	335$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.45	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	48c	304.08$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	264	33.3%88 W · 176 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	242	58.7%142 W · 100 L	+11.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	49c	270$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.7	228	54.8%125 W · 103 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	+6.3wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under	49c	225$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.75	154	53.9%83 W · 71 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over	48c	200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	49c	197$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.53	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	52c	194.19$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.19	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under	49c	180$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	123	56.9%70 W · 53 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under	49c	180$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	128	58.6%75 W · 53 L	+11.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over	48c	179.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under	48c	147$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.44	66	60.6%40 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under	51c	139$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.29	70	61.4%43 W · 27 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under	51c	139$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.29	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	122	59%72 W · 50 L	+11.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	114	58.8%67 W · 47 L	+10.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	138	59.4%82 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	112	59.8%67 W · 45 L	+11.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	124	58.9%73 W · 51 L	+12.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	103	60.2%62 W · 41 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	126	57.9%73 W · 53 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	123	58.5%72 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	+13.5wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	132	54.5%72 W · 60 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+8.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	221	57%126 W · 95 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Under	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+4.1wins	+0.16per pick	24cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	127	57.5%73 W · 54 L	+11.0wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	373	44.5%166 W · 207 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	346	55.5%192 W · 154 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over	13c	99.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	91	23.1%21 W · 70 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ba…e7eebacked Over	52c	99.62$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	209	57.4%120 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under	51c	93$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.7	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	21c	90.75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	117	44.4%52 W · 65 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under	50c	83$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.1	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under	49c	80$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Under	50c	76$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…68c1backed Over	50c	76$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	49c	75.96$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	36c	65.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	253	52.2%132 W · 121 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over	52c	63.46$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over	50c	63.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.66	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under	49c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under	49c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+13.8wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+13.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	137	54%74 W · 63 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Over	43c	58.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	44c	56.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	207	53.6%111 W · 96 L	+22.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	41c	56.58$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	215	40.9%88 W · 127 L	-15.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Under won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event