TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9209…dc9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT5048%24 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$47.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$51.11
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+145%+$48.96
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.4
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.71
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.21
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$74.66
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.37
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.23
Spread: Pacers (-1.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Devin Booker win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Madrid Open: Martin Damm vs Jakub Mensikbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.75
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.64
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.13
Alex Molcan vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.38
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)backed Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$19.78
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Dallas Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Sheltonbacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Argentina Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rotterdam Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Cameron Norriebacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+183.3%+$27.5
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+68.6%+$30.76
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.35
Set Handicap: Altmaier (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rotterdam Open: Quentin Halys vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rotterdam Open: Luka Pavlovic vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Burton Albion FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.84
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$62.94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$148.57
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$19.45
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$75.68
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.8%+$55.28
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+252.8%+$65.97
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+185.7%+$61.29
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$45.36
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.04
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.28
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.5
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$83.27
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$54.13
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$30.97
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.65
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.15
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.98
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$46.64
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$14.26
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.51
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$68.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.31
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+377.8%+$117.12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+141.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.16
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$189.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.