TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$708,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$745,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c460,974$225,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225,543.892450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c198,395$101,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,213.7819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c119,038$60,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,328.597938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Over46c54,784$25,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,181.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c30,344$16,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,827.7393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4002552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,700633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c29,885$15,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,934.632,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c26,242$13,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,743.129350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2502748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.964757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under53c18,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,867.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c10,538$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.464445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under51c8,475$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.6340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under54c7,414$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c7,000$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4105653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3609952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over46c6,500$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9907358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under52c5,845$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.681478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.991030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c4,617$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.5398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over48c3,999$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.576744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.789652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.177444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over41c2,430$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.471250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9603046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,956$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.7140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under59c1,799$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.591266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over48c1,630$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.43023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Under54c1,606$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7207255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Under57c1,332$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.781457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Under53c1,250$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over45c1,172$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over44c1,145$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under47c1,072$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.271741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over39c896.91$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3492259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c873.18$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.7246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c846.38$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c718.99$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over48c663.8$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over44c643.34$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0721650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over58c622.41$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.926829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Under52c566.63$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.983250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under70c511.39$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.421233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over51c489.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.981225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…73a1backed Over49c463.04$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under53c414.52$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8128931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under56c340$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.12755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under53c300$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d3…eb28backed Over49c257.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over39c252.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.638744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under54c249.98$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.078861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over40c247.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over42c238.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3611856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c234.91$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4114845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over51c229.46$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7910361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under53c224$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over48c209.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over49c208$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.924575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under53c203.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.872231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Over49c203.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over51c197.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0126…4047backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over60c188.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over46c188.23$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.599937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c169.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.91,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over32c165.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4095…1675backed Over49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c160.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c156.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over34c152.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5218055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over40c147$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over37c139.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.112049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c135$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under52c119.03$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0310353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x796f…c23dbacked Under52c116.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c115$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.916851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b1…1539backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over48c103.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over49c102.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over28c102.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.67552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.