Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d842a69a10d8a775598e0f9c17b2513efc2a927de37e04b95f210c9b6bc454a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 6,653$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.3 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.76 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.7 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 3,941$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.6 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 1,896$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.84 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 60c | 862.4$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 61c | 827$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.53 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 74c | 810$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 676.39$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 639.25$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 349.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 76c | 290.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 26c | 282$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 74c | 277.36$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 215.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 28c | 178.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 171.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 56c | 171.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 136.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 135.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Under | 19c | 130.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 92.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 63c | 88.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 38c | 59.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0291…cf1bbacked Over | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 43.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 63c | 35.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 68c | 34.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Over | 74c | 23.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 72c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 62c | 19.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 74c | 17.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 74c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.