Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa630063f83edd3a0097c77ca773995fe3024f782cbeede6ab98b41da2e673bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 6,561$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 77c | 3,703$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.69 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 76c | 2,650$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 800.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 618.06$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 20c | 305.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 24c | 231.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 15c | 135.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 26c | 74.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 23c | 44.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…545bbacked Under | 74c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 76c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 75c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 75c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.