Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85da7b13d15a10aeb804bd7be010c997f9b40b503282bbbd7fbd42db8d3da9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,657$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 57c | 1,155$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.01 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 1,006$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.21 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 48c | 833.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 53c | 595.51$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.62 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 55c | 506.2$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.35 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 54c | 369.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 353.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 325.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 45c | 221.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 205.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 40c | 195.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 45c | 186.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 60c | 123.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…793fbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 48c | 98.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed No | 48c | 96.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 46c | 86.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 47c | 73.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 79c | 70.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked No | 68c | 69.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…1539backed No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 58c | 59.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 50c | 55.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 47c | 53.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 61c | 49.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 47.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Yes | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 38.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Yes | 41c | 37.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 64c | 35.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Yes | 54c | 29.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…0f92backed No | 47c | 28.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 26.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…e600backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 42c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 54c | 24.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.