TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e9c…e966

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
352
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT14547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+332.9%+$300.11
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.12
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.88
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.14
Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.75
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$58.54
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$115.91
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+64.8%+$64.82
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+89.6%+$44.81
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$119.99
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$91.6
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.7%+$78.68
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
GG Jackson II: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+68.3%+$13.67
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5228.8%15 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.8%+$428.99
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.06
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.6
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.84
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.78
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+414.1%+$1,718.46
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+500.4%+$1,066.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+242.2%+$638.86
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.49
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+167.9%+$595.16
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$351.45
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+238.9%+$167.21
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+174.2%+$414.42
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+510.1%+$1,184.91
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+248.7%+$1,353.9
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$114.66
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+350.4%+$1,979.75
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+287.3%+$235.56
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$180.45
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$81.11
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$153.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+170.3%+$102.16
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$38.92
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+266.4%+$181.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+116%+$79.96
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.9%+$37.01
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.82
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+143.9%+$86.34
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$27
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+409.3%+$245.56
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$148.41
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$75.02
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$129.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$34.74
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.76
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$41.22
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+59%+$58.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200.38
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$113.31
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$71.47
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150.24
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$63.54
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.77
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.77
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.7
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.4
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.01
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.71
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$44.16
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$28.11
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$33.47
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$49.32
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.3
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.71
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+75%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina Open: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.2%+$170.79
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$47.3
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.41
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.51
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+177.6%+$40.85
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$36.06
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+252.8%+$178.64
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+562.3%+$168.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.61
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.52
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.89
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+120.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.77
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.4%+$34.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.