TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38fe…a923backed No70c18,660$13,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,514.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes20c18,642$3,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes7c14,955$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7005330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes18c8,788$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes28c4,865$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.26942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes5c3,687$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.661,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes18c3,541$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-77.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes19c3,099$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.8910521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes20c2,517$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes25c2,224$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5483650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes6c1,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No80c1,541$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…29e8backed Yes8c1,459$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes6c1,400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.596518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes5c1,263$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.371030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes25c1,159$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.872035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes18c999.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Yes21c999.89$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.981070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Yes13c993.37$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aec…2020backed Yes13c964.91$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…03c0backed Yes18c872.22$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes22c697.49$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No58c634.19$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8626040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes16c627.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.362138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes18c609.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.746926.1%18 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes13c566.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.641711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No78c563.36$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.394833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes18c560.22$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.842944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-77.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes19c531.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…8190backed Yes19c529.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No78c484.33$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.639535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Yes46c432.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c419$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6626346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes19c368.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes17c352.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes17c345.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.763348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No78c341$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4216242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes12c308.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.56245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes7c289.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes17c284.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes35c282.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.44637%17 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes21c272.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.824330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes11c271.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes19c263.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58b…cba8backed Yes18c252.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Yes19c230.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7760%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes19c226.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.991811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes15c225$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.757540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…439ebacked Yes16c211.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes16c202.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b85…fbb7backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d14…48e2backed Yes18c192.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…0edabacked Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes19c177.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.795046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b6…a62fbacked Yes13c173.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Yes18c170$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes18c170$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No76c169.3$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2224052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes18c152$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes17c142.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes18c136$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec7…f874backed Yes16c130$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes20c126.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.33812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-81.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes17c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes22c118.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked Yes17c116.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes18c112.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95bb…213abacked Yes18c109.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes17c100.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e6…c836backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8614337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.