TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61b6…a62f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.41
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+403.5%+$202.31
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$51.64
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+900%+$180
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$106.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$66.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$128.12
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36.93
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$82.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$52.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+135.1%+$27
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$114.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.33
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$48.98
Will Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$260.03
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.36
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.05
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$49.98
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55.47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.36
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+261%+$135.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-13.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.18
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$109.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$52.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.