Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66398a4c4a87c77bc047f6c66c12ad736aa30248ac36f6852800118cf936cb31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiakós SFPof Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Olympiakós SFP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 2,501$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.32 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Olympiakós SFP | 68c | 1,976$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.41 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olympiakós SFP | 68c | 1,464$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.48 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympiakós SFP | 72c | 1,042$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Olympiakós SFP | 68c | 148$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 139.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Olympiakós SFP | 70c | 136.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Olympiakós SFP | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 94.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympiakós SFP | 70c | 92.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…8b96backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 30c | 90.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Olympiakós SFP | 70c | 73.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…5c05backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1259…5c05backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 30c | 59.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…895dbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 30c | 52.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Olympiakós SFP | 68c | 44.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Olympiakós SFP | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa30b…29e5backed Olympiakós SFP | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…a62fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…6ab2backed Olympiakós SFP | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed Olympiakós SFP | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5e…da36backed Olympiakós SFP | 71c | 22.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…ac86backed Olympiakós SFP | 71c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…a7ddbacked Olympiakós SFP | 71c | 17.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Olympiakós SFP won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.