TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c75…b299backed Yes59c5,118$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No43c4,651$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.1615252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c3,322$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.391,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No44c1,636$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.3310733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7912333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No42c1,018$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.358146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5806253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes57c941.36$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0912344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes57c937.74$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes11c884.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No41c864.23$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.8526047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes29c824.28$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.834623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c678.26$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.591,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No41c599.93$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.961926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No73c475.39$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4116036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c458.5$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed No67c377.81$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.682445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes52c340$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes24c336.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805651.8%29 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes50c299.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes48c293.6$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.533650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes59c220$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.812843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes44c201.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.71850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024037.5%15 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2aed…53e2backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Yes57c174.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.492552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Yes59c135.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes59c110.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked No46c109.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.885251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed No46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked No43c105.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.142951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558341%34 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No41c99.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.41,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502931%9 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes59c88.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528349.4%41 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes56c80.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.894052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.879966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Yes56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed No46c71.07$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed No43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes57c69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5229350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked No43c68.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.861656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40100%0 W · 10 L-5.3wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes58c53.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8950247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eea…c324backed Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes57c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.534449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Yes56c48.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No42c47.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8211036.4%40 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b3…3e3bbacked No42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes57c47.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0865050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed No43c44.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.193548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Yes58c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x432b…a6a6backed Yes47c42.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked No43c41.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.512326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85450%27 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.212450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes57c36.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.046445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabaa…62a5backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa00…9fe3backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No44c34.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.110431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3859…8806backed Yes59c33.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0126…065cbacked No42c32.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce31…5e39backed Yes59c31.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb931…33efbacked No42c30.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a0…33e9backed No42c29.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6614…e516backed No42c29.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa52…cf2dbacked No42c28.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x139e…4f76backed Yes59c28.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…3a38backed Yes59c28.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5442…3671backed Yes59c27.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff1a…5d2cbacked Yes59c26.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09de…49b8backed No42c26.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.