TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under45c25,439$11,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,991.33641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c13,788$7,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,498.211,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under46c10,802$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,801.59812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c10,314$5,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,763.3426047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over55c7,812$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.2259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over54c3,089$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.4926645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under41c2,283$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.943754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.954020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under42c1,846$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.8938748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c1,822$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.2528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over27c1,623$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.084623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over60c817.94$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over59c762.71$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+123.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over58c427.72$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.083148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Under42c416.5$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.57785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+81.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c350.85$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2079653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over59c321$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3912344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594139%16 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1749034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503450%17 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…9b64backed Under42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over58c229.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.898146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over59c170.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over58c163$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5450247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9e…a5a2backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under46c141.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4416036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over59c135.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.15225%13 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked Over58c125$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+59.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702969%20 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2820042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5e…827abacked Under52c111.58$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.561442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Under45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Over58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605050%25 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over45c99.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2642438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c94.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.621,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Over59c91.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba7…8d2ebacked Over58c89.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Over59c85.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.656100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+261.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5cf…3f01backed Over57c80.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under54c80.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.03875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over57c79.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41fb…b6b0backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over56c58.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4238…3233backed Over56c58.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b1…9b98backed Over62c58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d2…b34bbacked Under38c58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4255…6dd5backed Under40c57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd83…c0c2backed Over60c57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over55c56.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3313453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Over56c55.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under42c50.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.144100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1adb…f12abacked Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c49.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.071,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over59c49.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.026741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over56c46.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1117045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Under66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Over64c44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874d…c888backed Under36c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.486556.9%37 W · 28 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe64b…9e97backed Over56c41.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3340%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x625f…89a4backed Under41c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e74…68c1backed Over59c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over56c37.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c36.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.638253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9ca8backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+160.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa00…9fe3backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc042…3eb5backed Over52c33.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.