Champions League · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bc7dc1fe7b508e9bd863fec77a4f542700571cd4feff007a49153c10d51f083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 9,241$6,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.38 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 33c | 5,783$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.02 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 34c | 3,712$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.08 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 66c | 3,447$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.02 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 30c | 1,926$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 34c | 1,076$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.84 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 33c | 999.51$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.84 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 943.48$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Under | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 35c | 499.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 483.84$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 375.81$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 27c | 366.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…879bbacked Over | 35c | 327.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 67c | 300.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 35c | 299.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 67c | 288.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 7c | 199$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…6dfdbacked Under | 66c | 190.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Over | 35c | 180.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 35c | 172$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 63c | 167.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Over | 34c | 157.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc792…28bbbacked Under | 66c | 134.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 35c | 130.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 65c | 123.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 33c | 102.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…813ebacked Over | 36c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 45.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Over | 35c | 35.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 67c | 34.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 32.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…7314backed Over | 36c | 31.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…c6f9backed Under | 65c | 30.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 35c | 29.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…5fcebacked Under | 65c | 29.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…e7a7backed Over | 36c | 28.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…00eebacked Under | 65c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…827abacked Under | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 71c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…b407backed Under | 65c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…e120backed Under | 65c | 16.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Under | 67c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 78c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Olympiakós SFP won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.