TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb903…9942

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.02
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$43.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+86.8%+$95.45
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$318.99
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$352.56
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.8%+$208.55
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$136.85
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+30.5%+$183.14
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$66.46
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$97.24
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37.5%+$131.29
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.5
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.4
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$19.69
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$46.67
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$289.66
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$70.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$88.09
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$85.26
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$65
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$23.33
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$16.25
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$16.09
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+89.3%+$41.96
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+46.2%+$115.45
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$62.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21.27
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$122.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$91.94
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+74.6%+$28.33
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.