Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65a765207d81771706f6f390cc227772a4afb4a02e5c40a1fc8f1f73bc364622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,336 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 11,445$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 46c | 4,199$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.11 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.91 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…b823backed Under | 65c | 2,759$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 48c | 2,280$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.45 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 50c | 1,740$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.04 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 52c | 1,098$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 70c | 961.81$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.55 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 913.24$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 69c | 773$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.63 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 38c | 771.36$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.89 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 48c | 688.65$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 48c | 687.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…ef8bbacked Over | 61c | 648.74$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 644.61$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.64 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…0014backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 54c | 592.67$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 470.31$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 71c | 464.79$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 258.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed Under | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 69c | 220$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 70c | 213$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 58c | 193.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 9c | 191$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 42c | 190.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 54c | 184.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 27c | 175.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 167.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…1c79backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 54c | 146.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 51c | 140$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 47c | 139.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 69c | 139.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 69c | 129.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 45c | 106.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…073fbacked Over | 55c | 92.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 56c | 80.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Under | 42c | 80.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 75.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 31c | 66.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Over | 57c | 66.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 34c | 63.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 31c | 59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Under | 42c | 57.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed Over | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 37c | 53.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 28c | 49.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 47.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Under | 32c | 42.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 55c | 42.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 47c | 41.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 62c | 38.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 44c | 38.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 65c | 36.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 32c | 34.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…6a42backed Over | 36c | 33.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.