Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35bc60d83371bdfba3285133f841b9ac631bf9d4b768737d61df0946e1afb2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,991 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 6,425$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,632$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.88 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.86 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 45c | 2,786$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.45 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 45c | 1,569$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.51 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 39c | 1,339$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.8 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…0014backed Yes | 79c | 1,005$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 551.69$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked No | 18c | 499.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 489.61$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 59c | 417.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.33 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 60c | 417$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 281$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 29c | 257.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 51c | 231.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 52c | 213.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 40c | 200.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 73c | 191.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed No | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed No | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 162.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 51c | 145.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 62c | 123.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 69c | 109.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 48c | 98.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 75c | 96.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 60c | 83.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Yes | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…06a3backed Yes | 49c | 65.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…ef42backed Yes | 59c | 65.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 65.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 78c | 58.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 39c | 50.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 42c | 46.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…3101backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 33c | 43.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 43.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…45c2backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 44c | 38.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Yes | 68c | 36.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…073ebacked No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…89d7backed Yes | 60c | 33.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 63c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 61c | 31.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Yes | 44c | 31.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 60c | 28.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…e759backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Yes | 61c | 23.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 60c | 22.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 61c | 20.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…b899backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Yes | 76c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 56c | 17.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.