Bundesliga · resolved market

Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7bd0c72c2f7f8c4d659e8bdac8cf954c5daee75508ef7ddb269eae0823f8631

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FC Augsburgof RB Leipzig, FC Augsburg
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $311,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,011 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed FC Augsburg	50c	119,914$59,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,937.72	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked RB Leipzig	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed RB Leipzig	50c	40,000$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked RB Leipzig	50c	36,650$18,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,325	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed RB Leipzig	17c	34,969$5,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,896.59	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed RB Leipzig	50c	7,494$3,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,747	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed RB Leipzig	49c	7,479$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,700.14	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed RB Leipzig	14c	7,143$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FC Augsburg	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC Augsburg	50c	6,009$3,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,004.5	341	44.6%152 W · 189 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked RB Leipzig	45c	6,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.98	332	44.6%148 W · 184 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed FC Augsburg	50c	4,500$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,230	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed FC Augsburg	55c	3,636$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,636.36	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed FC Augsburg	50c	3,010$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,505	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked FC Augsburg	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed RB Leipzig	50c	2,800$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed FC Augsburg	62c	2,435$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.91	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked RB Leipzig	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed FC Augsburg	50c	1,281$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.46	358	56.4%202 W · 156 L	+19.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed RB Leipzig	46c	1,191$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.16	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed RB Leipzig	38c	1,142$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.86	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed RB Leipzig	50c	706$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed FC Augsburg	51c	620.14$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.47	120	64.2%77 W · 43 L	+10.5wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked FC Augsburg	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed RB Leipzig	51c	395.18$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.35	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ffe…ce5bbacked FC Augsburg	55c	373.25$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.96	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FC Augsburg	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed RB Leipzig	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.99	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked RB Leipzig	50c	289.48$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.74	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed FC Augsburg	55c	280$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	103	61.2%63 W · 40 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Augsburg	50c	265.47$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.74	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked RB Leipzig	46c	254.35$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FC Augsburg	54c	250$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Augsburg	54c	249.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Augsburg	54c	249.98$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.99	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed RB Leipzig	35c	233.9$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.92	191	39.8%76 W · 115 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed RB Leipzig	49c	219.98$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.79	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+10.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1850…1015backed FC Augsburg	55c	215.25$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked FC Augsburg	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed RB Leipzig	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcc…de88backed RB Leipzig	46c	196.33$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed FC Augsburg	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	35	74.3%26 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	63cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x232e…fc46backed RB Leipzig	46c	180.93$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed RB Leipzig	49c	177.12$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.79	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3a2…f3f9backed FC Augsburg	55c	162.01$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.9	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090e…28babacked RB Leipzig	46c	152.36$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe433…52debacked FC Augsburg	55c	151.28$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked RB Leipzig	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee24…002ebacked RB Leipzig	45c	149$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed RB Leipzig	41c	142.73$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.79	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked RB Leipzig	47c	138.3$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f56…f76ebacked FC Augsburg	55c	128.54$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.84	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0674…5e43backed RB Leipzig	46c	127.46$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed FC Augsburg	51c	127.25$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.49	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe46e…1567backed RB Leipzig	46c	122.46$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5334…91fcbacked FC Augsburg	55c	121.89$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed RB Leipzig	16c	120.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	306	47.1%144 W · 162 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed FC Augsburg	50c	116.39$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.2	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed RB Leipzig	51c	109.8$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…dc0cbacked FC Augsburg	55c	106.92$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67f…b74ebacked RB Leipzig	46c	106.35$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed FC Augsburg	50c	105.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.62	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed FC Augsburg	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed FC Augsburg	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed RB Leipzig	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.3wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed FC Augsburg	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d65…2d2bbacked RB Leipzig	51c	98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.44per pick	60cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked RB Leipzig	45c	95.83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.12	373	44.5%166 W · 207 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked RB Leipzig	43c	93.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed RB Leipzig	30c	81.64$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.35	146	42.5%62 W · 84 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed RB Leipzig	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed FC Augsburg	50c	74$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed FC Augsburg	50c	71.42$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.71	624	52.6%328 W · 296 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked RB Leipzig	17c	70.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	201	53.7%108 W · 93 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed FC Augsburg	51c	68.62$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.62	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed RB Leipzig	31c	65.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed RB Leipzig	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.26	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ca…9dd0backed FC Augsburg	55c	58$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed RB Leipzig	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-7.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked RB Leipzig	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed FC Augsburg	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed RB Leipzig	42c	46.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked FC Augsburg	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x607e…ecabbacked FC Augsburg	55c	45.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed FC Augsburg	55c	45.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed RB Leipzig	48c	43.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…c735backed RB Leipzig	46c	43.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed FC Augsburg	51c	42.64$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.06	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed RB Leipzig	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed RB Leipzig	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked FC Augsburg	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.81	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed RB Leipzig	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5061…dfdbbacked FC Augsburg	55c	39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed FC Augsburg	51c	37.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.43	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed FC Augsburg	53c	37.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.54	96	58.3%56 W · 40 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1c…5527backed FC Augsburg	51c	36.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed RB Leipzig	39c	35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca8…d137backed FC Augsburg	60c	33.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.17	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c6…2de4backed FC Augsburg	51c	32.61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked FC Augsburg	71c	29.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.62	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)this page
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)FC Augsburg won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event