TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd25c…fe19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT17652.3%92 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.64
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.64
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.77
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.12
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.12
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.19
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Spread: Heat (-17.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.12
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.77
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.46
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.77
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.64
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Siniakova vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Samsonova vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Rei Sakamotobacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Yue Yuanbacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
ATX Open: Taylor Townsend vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhangbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Antalya: Veronika Erjavec vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Merida Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Merida Open Akron: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
ATX Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC St. Pauli 1910 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.63
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-67.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.