Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x247d02aa3daa75f364632f52134a4fb79f6cdf7865c5717daa00d4cd494124e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 57c | 4,170$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 2,399$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.63 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 824.08$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.28 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 789.71$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.71 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 620.4$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 544.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 48c | 543.75$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 494.22$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 51c | 399.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 50c | 300.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.03 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 79c | 286.8$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 278.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7f…9da6backed Under | 52c | 233.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 222.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 219.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 27c | 171.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 55c | 142$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…ed5ebacked Over | 53c | 95.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 43c | 90.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 84.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 20c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 43c | 78.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 48c | 78.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 51c | 77.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Over | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Over | 79c | 71.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 67.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 65.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 50c | 62.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 68c | 46.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…20fabacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 36.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 52c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…77d0backed Under | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…839abacked Over | 47c | 24.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…0a4abacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…c383backed Over | 47c | 23.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…baffbacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…6021backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed98…97d2backed Over | 47c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…fe78backed Over | 47c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…3364backed Over | 47c | 22.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d979backed Over | 47c | 22.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1c…a2ecbacked Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…4380backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cc…bb40backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 53c | 21.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…ccfbbacked Over | 47c | 21.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4002…48c3backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 20.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…bf1ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…80f9backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d5d5backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…50a2backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.