TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb7f…9da6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royerbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Mexico City: Marc Polmans vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.82
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$21.49
Sarasota: Duje Ajdukovic vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.02
Mexico City: Dan Martin vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.84
Sarasota: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+568.6%+$93.03
Sarasota: Darwin Blanch vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.97
Campinas: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Lucio Rattibacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.37
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Tamara Korpatsch vs Jule Niemeierbacked Jule Niemeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.21
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$26.65
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+389.8%+$185.8
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+382.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.67
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$230.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.