TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Muller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexandre Mullerof Jan Choinski, Alexandre Muller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$448,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$556,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe30e…6b87backed Jan Choinski12c70,391$8,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,277.547452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Jan Choinski9c28,750$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.045756.1%32 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alexandre Muller75c27,911$21,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,881.277,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jan Choinski15c20,676$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.626,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jan Choinski10c17,583$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.438,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexandre Muller79c13,717$10,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.3111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf816…0433backed Jan Choinski55c12,147$6,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,672.232850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jan Choinski5c10,212$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.812,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jan Choinski39c6,693$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.461,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Jan Choinski4c5,051$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.291,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alexandre Muller79c4,869$3,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0462,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked Jan Choinski3c4,072$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.992240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jan Choinski5c3,690$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.481,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jan Choinski10c3,534$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.471,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaaf…6c31backed Alexandre Muller46c2,960$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.712373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+40.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Alexandre Muller54c2,919$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.1830542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Jan Choinski53c2,673$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.8493055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alexandre Muller69c2,664$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.713,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jan Choinski27c2,433$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.214,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Alexandre Muller49c2,310$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.571,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Jan Choinski36c2,163$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.0761924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Jan Choinski49c1,979$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.7311552.2%60 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Jan Choinski18c1,957$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.127836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Alexandre Muller48c1,823$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.471,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Jan Choinski8c1,785$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.719737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Alexandre Muller52c1,668$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.6512066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Jan Choinski10c1,488$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.033429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Alexandre Muller55c1,363$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.2215457.1%88 W · 66 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Jan Choinski10c1,154$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4197141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Jan Choinski49c1,140$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.231,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Alexandre Muller69c1,017$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9448453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Jan Choinski10c913.92$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.396816.2%11 W · 57 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-55.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Alexandre Muller61c898.17$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3654547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Jan Choinski49c853.13$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9655241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Alexandre Muller52c817.87$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8940548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Alexandre Muller51c728.8$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6727247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Alexandre Muller61c574.53$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.722,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jan Choinski47c567.06$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.593,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Alexandre Muller43c561$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5118250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Alexandre Muller76c549.82$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.759764.9%63 W · 34 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Alexandre Muller40c538.15$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.211,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Alexandre Muller58c504.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Alexandre Muller41c496.34$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.81,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Jan Choinski43c488$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.848261%50 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc779…c8a4backed Jan Choinski21c450.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Alexandre Muller43c449.41$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.261,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jan Choinski47c391.36$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.941,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Jan Choinski50c350.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2343242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Alexandre Muller56c345.58$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8232763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Alexandre Muller43c318.66$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4735344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7663…43c1backed Jan Choinski38c316.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.35248.3%2 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Jan Choinski24c315.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5427346.5%127 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alexandre Muller51c312.93$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Jan Choinski45c312.34$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5518957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Jan Choinski24c283.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8980153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Jan Choinski7c283.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Jan Choinski35c276.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0328541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Jan Choinski9c270.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.352548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Jan Choinski7c269.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8875312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Jan Choinski11c251.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1533661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Alexandre Muller40c241.02$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.621,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466b…bbb3backed Jan Choinski6c240.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…6834backed Jan Choinski7c240.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Jan Choinski46c238.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6296844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Jan Choinski48c228.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9147552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Jan Choinski45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Jan Choinski60c217.66$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7866139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Alexandre Muller54c217.57$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.081,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7633…9f71backed Alexandre Muller54c205.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Jan Choinski49c199.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9121758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jan Choinski44c199$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.567,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jan Choinski49c194.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.631,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Jan Choinski50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9757645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed Jan Choinski49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Jan Choinski13c188.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6130715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Jan Choinski30c188.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.671,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Alexandre Muller55c178.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1724460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Alexandre Muller65c176.48$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.675671.4%40 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37a0…1145backed Jan Choinski10c174.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked Jan Choinski10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Alexandre Muller63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4384963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Alexandre Muller55c146.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.532050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Jan Choinski53c145.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.591,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Alexandre Muller51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7499056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Alexandre Muller51c123.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.772,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Alexandre Muller72c119.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6673549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe136…b79fbacked Jan Choinski46c116.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.681330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Alexandre Muller51c116.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0729461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked Alexandre Muller42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.642548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Jan Choinski46c114.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5212055.8%67 W · 53 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea5…1bd5backed Jan Choinski9c109.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Alexandre Muller43c108.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8119653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Alexandre Muller58c104.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7794549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Alexandre Muller39c98.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2760661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Jan Choinski55c98.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0127667%185 W · 91 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Alexandre Muller51c97.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.941,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Jan Choinski46c94.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5850845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jan Choinski43c89.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.34,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jan Choinski46c89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.297,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Jan Choinski55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6552661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.