TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe136…b79f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$23.14
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$46.41
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.03
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.78
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.22
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$51.16
Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$52.46
Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$13.23
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$13.95
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.89
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$20.67
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$15.29
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$48.36
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$56.22
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 18.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$10.77
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$24.93
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+298.9%+$85.81
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+229%+$101.62
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.94
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.04
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.03
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.83
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.52
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.62
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$35.03
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.68
Menorca: Dali Blanch vs Raul Brancacciobacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$50.92
Sao Leopoldo: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Facundo Acostabacked Conner Huertas Del Pino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.17
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
Barletta: Henri Squire vs Mili Poljicakbacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.13
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencicbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Naples: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.67
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteirobacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+249.2%+$48.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$39.31
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$61.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.