Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9544492567f41244ddd3f2f08b0d4dbd0f911d32650ee9f3b396634938de813e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 77c | 1,980$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 1,706$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 1,541$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 1,417$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.49 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 889.84$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 852.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 825.46$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.61 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 783.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 563.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 69c | 512$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 31c | 507$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 505.49$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 448.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 378.8$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 23c | 374.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 7c | 352.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 25c | 351.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 76c | 318.42$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 312.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 75c | 267.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 247$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 23c | 175.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 76c | 131.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 125.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 19c | 122$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 19c | 120.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 99.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 91.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…b79fbacked Yes | 22c | 73.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 25c | 68.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Yes | 24c | 51.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…e478backed No | 76c | 48.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 48.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 25c | 46.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 38.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 75c | 35.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 78c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 80c | 31.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 31.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 31.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 77c | 29.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…f7e5backed No | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…4067backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 75c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 78c | 18.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 75c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 75c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88e6…8311backed No | 75c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.