TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfedc…61d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+530.1%+$739.28
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$18.87
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.56
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.02
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.87
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.45
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$8.14
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.89
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$151.01
Will Mexico vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.77
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$15.9
Will Canada win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Will Brazil vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.44
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$62.12
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.97
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will United States win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+596.2%+$140.98
Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$33.92
Will Peru vs. Honduras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Panama win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.87
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$142.12
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.78
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$18.42
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$8.65
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$23.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.98
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$4.49
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$8.2
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+91%+$26.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.9%+$95.94
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$3.27
Will Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Will Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$4.16
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$13.63
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$14.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+264.4%+$159.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$27.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.75
Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$15.72
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$30.11
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$45.46
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$15.93
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.4
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.92
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$17.3
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.59
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$4.28
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$49.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$10.28
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.95
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+304.6%+$119.94
Will Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$13.07
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$6.64
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33%+$7.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$6.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+173.6%+$44.42
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+44.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$12.45
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$17.01
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$5.75
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$23.23
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$12.91
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$22.67
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$22.28
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.05
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$24.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$11.05
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$9.82
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$11.95
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$34.02
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+190.2%+$39.33
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$8.12
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$18.44
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+160.2%+$21.34
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.87
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.67
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
Will US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+111%+$15.78
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+209.3%+$33.83
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$39.9
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.75
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$24.93
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$27.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+66.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$76.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$22.17
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$29.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$18.36
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$20.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$68.84
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$28.35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+137%+$69.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$13.4
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$8.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.