TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,509,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,593,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,509,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36a3…fafbbacked Yes41c695,059$282,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,205.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes38c238,027$90,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,284.853243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No59c157,258$93,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,086.0917557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c140,264$84,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,924.682,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No61c105,972$65,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,948.5212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes36c77,695$27,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,754.516040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c54,632$34,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,637.812,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,50035941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No65c46,657$30,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,329.837753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c46,193$27,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,479.572,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes36c40,868$14,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,712.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No59c40,246$23,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,4147653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c39,369$25,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,815.766,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No62c37,322$23,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,183.855356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No62c37,310$23,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,177.87750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c32,478$20,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,384.981,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No59c32,448$19,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,303.482642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No61c26,484$16,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,444.072560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed No57c24,352$13,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,519.921457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked No64c23,225$14,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,360.891050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No59c21,056$12,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,568.179061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked No59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,200683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,20016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No59c16,394$9,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,721.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No61c16,285$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,295.1940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No62c13,978$8,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,311.663070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No59c13,000$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,33017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No59c13,000$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,33013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No59c12,074$7,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,951.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0004052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8002128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No60c9,410$5,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e9…f5eabacked Yes35c9,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No63c8,912$5,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No60c8,133$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.339749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No59c7,828$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.621241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No60c7,640$4,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.97544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No59c7,470$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.75050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No62c6,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28022744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No60c5,869$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.7818253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.996550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No59c4,980$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes35c4,890$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.3514258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes37c4,689$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.186737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No62c4,522$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7182544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No64c4,500$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No60c4,165$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.9639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44010951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9813151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes36c3,777$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.861631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No64c3,570$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.1214158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked No60c3,544$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c3,500$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No64c3,500$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2606448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No70c3,477$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.7415757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c3,399$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.5684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No64c3,333$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.882250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes36c3,283$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.812060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c3,257$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.8655351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No75c3,148$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.063154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No61c3,000$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.546551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No65c2,953$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.943053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes36c2,686$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.875658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes25c2,674$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.51118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes38c2,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.831741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked No60c2,440$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9762245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No59c2,286$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.330666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No61c2,239$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.835657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes45c2,149$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9679949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No64c2,035$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No59c2,032$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.0214975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes38c2,027$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.246440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7206262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes38c1,997$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.883548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No59c1,987$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.3127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No59c1,987$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.3130057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No59c1,977$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.6213846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No59c1,951$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.8332158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No59c1,780$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.821056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes27c1,711$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c1,685$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.7131053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes16c1,664$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.958919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes41c1,603$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.058345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c1,476$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.444,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c1,434$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.121,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c1,392$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.7258446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No68c1,359$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5513948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes36c1,336$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.814138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes35c1,218$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.249544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No65c1,205$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.723080%24 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No59c1,190$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.0310378.6%81 W · 22 L+22.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+53.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No59c1,178$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.494862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Yes41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.370%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes32c1,176$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.271435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No59c1,091$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.369373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.