TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,207,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,115,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,207,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No65c294,363$190,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,663.777753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes36c163,580$58,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,914.443234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed Yes35c100,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,000.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes35c80,491$27,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,863.0920140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes59c57,118$33,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,5842638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c41,809$15,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,422.841,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No63c40,166$25,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,861.2911149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed No64c34,456$22,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,404.273135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No65c33,955$22,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,725.9516040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes29c27,352$8,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,048.562924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes37c26,005$9,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6223426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c20,974$6,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,201.394,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes35c18,888$6,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,610.816848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed No64c16,052$10,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,778.68333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3397…6fa6backed No63c16,011$10,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes36c14,464$5,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,164.18345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c13,747$8,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,079.42,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No63c13,000$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,81013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes30c11,552$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.5227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes31c11,329$3,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.3630057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c11,098$7,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.631,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c10,295$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.46,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes35c9,903$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.9917557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No67c9,613$6,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,185.783243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes31c9,360$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.399352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes32c8,971$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.574233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes26c8,433$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.812,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes30c6,895$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.9140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…8f68backed Yes37c6,275$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.9913155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes33c5,817$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes35c5,072$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.26737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Yes35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75014450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7748…8befbacked Yes60c4,880$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes36c4,736$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.849544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes35c4,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.9822744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No63c4,500$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.9816050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No63c4,500$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.9710951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No63c4,500$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.9613151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.996448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes35c4,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.988343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No63c3,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.979753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9446551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9920545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes35c2,643$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.773548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes31c2,483$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.4616757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No72c2,462$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3713748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes35c2,455$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.089061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No72c2,412$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.255547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c2,159$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.542,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes29c2,124$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.4839555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes33c2,080$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.6725225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7407061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7208043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7406262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007536%27 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No65c1,999$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.665658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes37c1,976$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.274744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes56c1,739$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes34c1,732$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.7755351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes28c1,691$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.42020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes58c1,681$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c1,610$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Yes35c1,578$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.172532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes37c1,560$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.324845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes31c1,546$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.39451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ea…795abacked No63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5553100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No68c1,284$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.97648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes37c1,272$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.63046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes37c1,251$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.829042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes32c1,175$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.893132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c1,174$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Yes33c1,163$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes59c1,126$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.243138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No63c1,100$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4078756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No41c1,072$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.183125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes30c1,064$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.329250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes27c1,062$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.862030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes37c1,058$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed Yes36c1,054$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes37c1,046$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c1,031$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6368942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes58c1,006$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.935255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes28c1,005$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.31650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0410850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fc…b079backed Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3709451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9914658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c999.96$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.9958446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.